Biden Predicted To Win The Democratic Nomination

Biden Predicted To Win The Democratic Nomination

Spotlight

PAGEONE Group CEO Included As Expert In The Social Media Trends 2021 Global Report

PAGEONE Group CEO Ron F. Jabal, APR included as one of the industry experts in the Social Media Trends 2021 Global Report by Talkwalker and Hubspot.

Transport Coop. Provides More Than 25k Free ‘Green Cards’ For Cashless Transactions

A transport cooperative operating in Las Piñas provides 25,735 passengers with the means to safely board and ride their solar electric jeepneys along the route of Alabang to Zapote.

The Importance Of Deepening Ties And Friendship On Online English Education

51Talk hosts the 2020 Sino-Philippines Educational Exchanges in celebration of the 45th anniversary of the founding of bilateral relations between the Philippines and China.

DBP Backs Public Transport Sector Recovery

DBP is working closely with the Department of Transportation (DOTr) and the Land Transportation Franchising and Regulatory Board (LTFRB) in finding financial solutions to aid the country's transportation sector due to the difficulties presented by the pandemic.

The latest report by The Economist Intelligence Unit (The EIU) highlights the dramatic shift in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination–which has become a head-to-head competition between Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders.

* The upcoming March primaries will be extremely tight, but the EIU forecasts Mr Biden to gain critical momentum in Michigan, Florida and Georgia, putting him in the best position to win the nomination.

* Mr Biden’s campaign was resurrected by his win in the South Carolina primary on February 29th, which changed the narrative around his electability and confirmed his commanding lead among African American voters, a crucial demographic.

* The race for the Democratic nomination will be a fierce battle between moderates and progressives, which currently looks likely to strengthen Donald Trump’s hand.

* As the race currently stands, Mr Trump is likely to draw on his solid support base and the benefits of incumbency to narrowly win a second term in November

DEMOCRATIC RACE TIGHTENS

Following Super Tuesday, public opinion polls have swung in Mr Biden’s favour, putting him in the best position to take the Democratic nomination. However, it is still too soon to count Bernie Sanders out entirely. Until recent days, he held sizeable leads in several key states that will vote later in March, including Michigan–a swing state that was critical to the narrow electoral college victory of the Republican candidate, Donald Trump, in 2016–Ohio and Washington. Mr Biden, meanwhile, has a firm lead in some other key states, including Florida and Georgia, which he is set to win by large margins.

DEMOCRATS COULD FACE MESSY END TO CAMPAIGN

Mr Biden has the strongest base among African-American voters and is best placed to appeal to moderate voters, which will allow him to expand his support base as the race goes on. On the downside, however, he appears to be the “compromise” candidate, which will work against him at a time when many Americans are looking to anti-establishment figures.

Mr Sanders has an extremely strong, mobilised grass-roots support base, similar to Mr Trump’s. Moreover, Mr Sanders appeals to the widespread sense of dissatisfaction with institutions that carried Mr Trump–and indeed, his predecessor, Barack Obama–into office, and which is still prevalent today. However, Mr Sanders’ far-left policy agenda is likely to unite Republicans against him and turn off some moderate voters, who will be less willing to consider radical policy changes at a time when the US economy is on a record-long growth streak.

MR TRUMP HAS NARROW, BUT CLEAR PATH TO VICTORY

As the race currently stands, Mr Trump is likely to win a second term in the election in November. Unemployment in the US is at an all-time low of 3.5%. Although the coronavirus and recent oil-price shocks pose risks to the economy, Mr Trump will still be able to campaign on his promises to ease constraints on businesses and keep the economy growing. Second, the benefits of incumbency are also significant, particularly when paired with a strong economy. Only three of the 12 presidents elected since 1945 have failed to secure a second term (Lyndon B. Johnson, Jimmy Carter and George H. W. Bush). Finally, Mr Trump also benefits enormously from his uniquely solid support base. His approval rating has held around 40%-44% for almost the entirety of his first term–by far the most stable rating of any president in modern history. That base, while too small to ensure his re-election alone, has been galvanised by the impeachment process, which Mr Trump survived.

Says Cailin Birch, The EIU’s global economist, “_In order to defeat Mr Trump’s highly mobilised base, the eventual Democratic nominee will have to unite the fragmented Democratic electorate and present policies that are moderate enough to appeal to centrist Republicans and undecided voters. Mr Biden stands the best chance of doing this, but it is still a hard road ahead.”

Photo Credit: facebook.com/joebiden

Ricky Lee Reveals Storytelling Secrets And Journey In iWant TFC’s ‘Trip To Quiapo’

Calling aspiring filmmakers! Enhance your storytelling skills with the "Trip To Quiapo" docuseries, exclusively on iWant.

Cebu City ‘Rescues’ 170 Street Dwellers, Vagrants

Cebu City rescues around 70 street dwellers in an effort to protect street dwellers from the risk of COVID-19 and natural calamities.

Zambo City Readies For Measles Supplemental Immunization Program

Preparations are underway for the measles-rubella supplemental immunization activity scheduled from October 26 to November 25 in Zamboanga City.

QC Residents Divided On ‘No Bike Helmet’ Policy

Payag ka ba sa "No Bike Helmet" Policy?

DSWD Completes Assessment Of 14.4M Poor Families For Listahanan 3

The Department of Social Welfare and Development says they have completed assessing the 14.4 million poor families included in the initial list of the third-round of assessment of the “Listahanan 3” or the National Household Targeting System for Poverty Reduction.

La Union Farmers Get P7-M Farm Machineries

The Department of Agrarian Reform has turned over different machineries to agrarian reform beneficiaries organizations in La Union.

Gov’t To Allow Non-Essential Outbound Travel Starting Oct. 21

Non-essential travel is finally allowed again!

The Importance Of Deepening Ties And Friendship On Online English Education

51Talk hosts the 2020 Sino-Philippines Educational Exchanges in celebration of the 45th anniversary of the founding of bilateral relations between the Philippines and China.

DOH Cites Ways To Avoid ‘Quarantine Fatigue’

Fed up with the cabin fever? Here are some ways on how you can cope with it:

ABS-CBN News Anchor Christian Esguerra Honored With McLuhan Fellowship

Christian Esguerra was given one of the highest honors for journalists and communicators as he was named the 2020 Marshall McLuhan fellow by the Canadian Embassy in the Philippines and the Center for Media Freedom and Responsibility.